Scout report
UCLA 2026 outlook
UCLA are not currently priced in the title market, but here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.
Outlook
SP+ pctile
Returning
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-8.7#99
FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.-2.4#75
EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1322
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.202.3#46
TalentTalent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.767
Returning prod.Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.22%
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Off PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.12
#105 nationally
Off successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
41%
ExplosivenessExplosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
1.17
Def PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.26
#94 nationally
Def successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
50%
HavocHavoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
12%
Yards/gameTotal yards gained per game.
319.8
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
-3
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Talent. Talent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.
Returning prod.. Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Off success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosiveness. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Full roster (107)
0LB1WR1DB2WR2DB4WR4DB6DB7WR9QB10LB12DB15PK18DB19LB21DB22RB22DB24DL27DB32RB33RB35P36LB55DL82TE85TE92DL95DLDLWR3RB10QB11WR11DL12WR14QB15WR17QB17LB18QB19P20WR23WR23DB25DB26DB28DB29RB29DL30DB30LS31DB31PK32DB33DL35DB37DB39LB40LB43DB44TE44DL44LS45DB45P46WR47TE48WR50LS51OL53LB54OL54DL55OL57LB58OL59DL61OL62OL65OL67OL68OL69OL71OL72OL73OL74OL75OL76OL77OL78OL81WR86WR87TE88TE88DL89TE94DL96DL97DL99DLIOLEDGELBOTCB
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FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What are UCLA's playoff odds in 2026?
UCLA make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 0% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the Big Ten in 0%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.
How many games will UCLA win in 2026?
The simulation projects UCLA at 4 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.
How good are UCLA by the numbers?
In 2025 SP+, UCLA rank #99 overall (offense #105, defense #94).
Where can I trade UCLA markets?
On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.