Heisman Trophy

Heisman odds 2026

CJ Carr leads the 2026 Heisman market at a 24.1% consensus fair value. Live, de-vigged Kalshi prices for the full field are below.

KalshiAs of November 8, 2026

Key takeaways

Heisman consensus fair value, top 10

CJ Carr24.1%

Darian Mensah16.2%

Jeremiah Smith16.2%

Devon Dampier4%

Drew Mestemaker4%

Gunner Stockton2.5%

Keelon Russell1.8%

LaNorris Sellers1.1%

Gio Lopez0.7%

Michael Hawkins Jr.0.7%

Full Heisman field

#	Player	Odds	Best price
1	CJ Carr	24.1%	34%
2	Darian Mensah	16.2%	23%
3	Jeremiah Smith	16.2%	23%
4	Devon Dampier	4%	6%
5	Drew Mestemaker	4%	6%
6	Gunner Stockton	2.5%	4%
7	Keelon Russell	1.8%	3%
8	LaNorris Sellers	1.1%	2%
9	Gio Lopez	0.7%	1%
10	Michael Hawkins Jr.	0.7%	1%
11	Conner Weigman	0.7%	1%
12	Jesse Legree	0.7%	1%
13	Anthony Colandrea	0.7%	1%
14	Charlie Becker	0.7%	1%
15	Aaron Philo	0.7%	1%
16	Nico Iamaleava	0.7%	1%
17	Austin Simmons	0.7%	1%
18	Dylan Raiola	0.7%	1%
19	Wayne Knight	0.7%	1%
20	Mason Heintschel	0.7%	1%
21	Lincoln Kienholz	0.7%	1%
22	William “Pop” Watson III	0.7%	1%
23	Bear Bachmeier	0.7%	1%
24	Colin Simmons	0.7%	1%
25	CJ Bailey	0.7%	1%
26	Faizon Brandon	0.7%	1%
27	Kamario Taylor	0.7%	1%
28	Jadan Baugh	0.7%	1%
29	Will Hammond	0.7%	1%
30	Kevin Jennings	0.7%	1%
31	Austin Mack	0.7%	1%
32	Rocco Becht	0.7%	1%
33	Sam Leavitt	0.7%	1%
34	John Mateer	0.7%	1%
35	Byrum Brown	0.7%	1%
36	Josh Hoover	0.7%	1%
37	Dante Moore	0.7%	1%
38	Bryce Underwood	0.7%	1%
39	Brendan Sorsby	0.7%	1%
40	Demond Williams Jr.	0.7%	1%
41	Trinidad Chambliss	0.7%	1%
42	Malachi Toney	0.7%	1%
43	Marcel Reed	0.7%	1%
44	Kewan Lacy	0.7%	1%
45	Julian Sayin	0.7%	1%
46	Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	0.7%	1%
47	Jayden Maiava	0.7%	1%
48	Bo Jackson	0.7%	1%
49	Arch Manning	0.7%	1%
50	Ahmad Hardy	0.7%	1%

CJ Carr is the favorite at a 24.1% consensus fair value, with the best price 34% on Kalshi, as of November 8, 2026.

They are real Kalshi market prices, de-vigged so the field sums to 100 percent. The result is a consensus implied probability for each candidate.

Heisman contracts are listed on Kalshi (code FADE). Polymarket and ProphetX carry other college football markets.