Heisman Trophy

Heisman odds 2026

Trinidad Chambliss leads the 2026 Heisman market at a 15.2% consensus fair value. Live, de-vigged Kalshi prices for the full field are below.

KalshiAs of September 23, 2026

Key takeaways

Trinidad Chambliss is the 2026 Heisman favorite at a 15.2% consensus fair value.
Darian Mensah is next at 14.3%.
The field runs 39 priced candidates, from real Kalshi prices.
These are live market prices, not predictions. Odds move; not financial advice.

Heisman consensus fair value, top 10

Trinidad Chambliss15.2%

Darian Mensah14.3%

Kamario Taylor9%

Jeremiah Smith7%

CJ Carr6.1%

Arch Manning6.1%

Gunner Stockton3.7%

Josh Hoover2.9%

Malachi Toney2.9%

Julian Sayin2.9%

Full Heisman field

#	Player	Odds	Best price
1	Trinidad Chambliss	15.2%	19%
2	Darian Mensah	14.3%	18%
3	Kamario Taylor	9%	11%
4	Jeremiah Smith	7%	9%
5	CJ Carr	6.1%	8%
6	Arch Manning	6.1%	8%
7	Gunner Stockton	3.7%	5%
8	Josh Hoover	2.9%	4%
9	Malachi Toney	2.9%	4%
10	Julian Sayin	2.9%	4%
11	Jayden Maiava	2.9%	4%
12	Jadan Baugh	2%	3%
13	Keelon Russell	2%	3%
14	LaNorris Sellers	1.6%	2%
15	Dante Moore	1.2%	2%
16	Drew Mestemaker	1.2%	2%
17	Mason Heintschel	0.8%	1%
18	Lincoln Kienholz	0.8%	1%
19	William “Pop” Watson III	0.8%	1%
20	Bear Bachmeier	0.8%	1%
21	Colin Simmons	0.8%	1%
22	Devon Dampier	0.8%	1%
23	CJ Bailey	0.8%	1%
24	Faizon Brandon	0.8%	1%
25	Will Hammond	0.8%	1%
26	Kevin Jennings	0.8%	1%
27	Austin Mack	0.8%	1%
28	Rocco Becht	0.8%	1%
29	Sam Leavitt	0.8%	1%
30	John Mateer	0.8%	1%
31	Byrum Brown	0.8%	1%
32	Bryce Underwood	0.8%	1%
33	Brendan Sorsby	0.8%	1%
34	Demond Williams Jr.	0.8%	1%
35	Marcel Reed	0.8%	1%
36	Kewan Lacy	0.8%	1%
37	Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	0.8%	1%
38	Bo Jackson	0.8%	1%
39	Ahmad Hardy	0.8%	1%

Trinidad Chambliss is the favorite at a 15.2% consensus fair value, with the best price 19% on Kalshi, as of September 23, 2026.

They are real Kalshi market prices, de-vigged so the field sums to 100 percent. The result is a consensus implied probability for each candidate.

Heisman contracts are listed on Kalshi (code FADE). Polymarket and ProphetX carry other college football markets.