Scout report
Kent State 2026 outlook
Kent State are not currently priced in the title market, but here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.
Outlook
SP+ pctile
Returning
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-19.3#130
FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.-19.6#133
EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1001
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.155.4#93
TalentTalent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.456
Returning prod.Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.11%
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Off PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.07
#125 nationally
Off successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
35%
ExplosivenessExplosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
1.36
Def PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.2
#120 nationally
Def successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
44%
HavocHavoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
14%
Yards/gameTotal yards gained per game.
295.4
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
-3
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Talent. Talent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.
Returning prod.. Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Off success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosiveness. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
W2vsSep 12, 2026Not rated
W9@Oct 31, 2026Not rated
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Full roster (102)
0DL1WR1DB2QB2DB3WR3DB4WR4LB5RB5DL6WR7DB8WR8DL10LB11TE12QB13TE14QB15LB18FB19DB20RB22DB23WR25RB25DB28LB32LB33RB33DL38S41LS44DL52DL83TE86WR88DL89TE0RB12DB13LB14DB15QB17QB17LB18DB19WR21DB23DB24RB24LB26RB26DB27DB29RB29DB30LB31DL35LB36WR42P43LB44TE45TE47TE48LS49PK50OL50DL52OL54OL55OL56DL58OL59DL62OL64OL67OL70OL71OL73OL74OL75OL76OL77OL78OL80WR81WR84WR85WR87WR88WR90DL93DL95DL96PK97P98DLQBWR
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FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What are Kent State's playoff odds in 2026?
Kent State make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 0% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the MAC in 0.9%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.
How many games will Kent State win in 2026?
The simulation projects Kent State at 4 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.
How good are Kent State by the numbers?
In 2025 SP+, Kent State rank #130 overall (offense #125, defense #120).
Where can I trade Kent State markets?
On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.