Redshirt
Scout report

Sacramento State 2026 outlook

Sacramento State are not currently priced in the title market, but here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.

Outlook
SP+ pctile
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025 stats, 2026 SP+
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025, SP+ 2026 in-season
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-20.9#133
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.89.3#127
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
0
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
W1@Eastern MichiganAug 29, 202639%Matchup
W1vsMississippi Valley StateSep 6, 2026Not rated
W2@Fresno StateSep 13, 20268%Matchup
W3vsNorth Dakota StateSep 20, 20264%Matchup
W4vsMassachusettsSep 27, 202653%Matchup
W6@Bowling GreenOct 10, 202647%Matchup
W7vsOhioOct 17, 202636%Matchup
W8@Ball StateOct 24, 202652%Matchup
W9vsKent StateOct 31, 202665%Matchup
W10vsToledoNov 4, 202621%Matchup
W11@Central MichiganNov 11, 202631%Matchup
W13@Hawai'iNov 29, 202616%Matchup
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Passing
Carson Conklin
354 yds, 1 TD
Rushing
Jamar Curtis
153 yds, 1 TD
Receiving
Ajon Bryant
2 rec, 58 yds
Tackles
Derek Houston
9 tot, 0 sk
Full roster (108)
1Jamar CurtisRB1Boogsie SilveraS3Cincere RhaneyRB9Ajon BryantWR10Derek HoustonLB12Onterrio Smith Jr.WR17Carson ConklinQB18Fata PulokaLB22Elias MullicanCB44Diego DavisLB49Grant MeadorsPK83Jaxon FresquesWRTim ThomasLB0Daniel SwinneyRB2Matt ColemanWR4Kenyon ShabazzWR4Dante AntoniniLB5Raiden BrownWR5Nick DimitrisDL6Brian Salazar Jr.QB6Warren Smith Jr.S7Kaden BriggsDL8Jackson SharmanQB8Darson JeantyLB9Saul MarksPK11Jaylen PattersonQB11Ivan Moore Jr.LB12Malikai NicholsCB13Diesel GordonS14Curron BordersRB14Drey GarnerWR14Joshua HolaniS15Dezmyn HardyWR15KJ JeffersonLB16Leki HolaniLB17Dylan GoodenLB18Liam MeekerQB19Guy Fernandez IIIWR20Bryant CollinsRB21Kenneth PeevyWR22Isaiah EneRB23Elias BrownRB23Chakai ScottS24Kyle GurganiousCB25Davion GodleyRB25Naytel MitchellS27Noah KingS29Caleb ReeseCB30Nikko KlemmCB31Jackson CahoonLB32Peyton McCutcheonDL33Alex RochaLB34Montrell RiceRB35Jay BrockhausP37Hamish AdamsP38Tim Edwards Jr.CB39Keyon MillsS40Iosefa LealofiLB46Mike MelansonP47Caden SimLS48Kellan SuttonLS50Federico CobarubioDL51Marcus BallLB52Isiah Chala Jr.DL53Elijah OrtizOL54Shontrail KeyOL54Brodie TagaloaDL55Garrison BlankOL55Miles BaileyDL56Jeremiah PonceOL57Luke SlaterOL58Daniel MataeleOL58Jamel Howard Jr.DL63Jamin GuilbertOL64Brandon SousaOL65Giovanni KovacsOL66Hayden FrazierOL68Davis MayOL70Jaxon MooreOL71Bryson SummersOL72Shaan LathanOL74Vae SoifuaOL75DeAnthony SheffieldOL76Alex KenwardOL77Jeremiah StallworthOL78Richard McKayOL79Dylan SpencerOL80Carlton PerrilliatWR81Matthew AuauWR82Kyle KoontzTE84Jahlil LindseyTE85Elijah HuddleTE86Jack HodgeTE87Luke MeekerTE88Cedric AntonTE90Austin ChambersDL91Maliek RichardsonDL93Malachi KindleDL94Austin AtenDL98Collin KallhoffDL99Devyn BlakeDLMatthew ColemanWRWill WeberDLQualyn McQueenCBDonovan TurnerDBAmari WallaceSDionte ThorntonSEllijah WashingtonWR
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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are Sacramento State's playoff odds in 2026?

Sacramento State make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 0% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the MAC in 0.7%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.

How many games will Sacramento State win in 2026?

The simulation projects Sacramento State at 4.4 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.

How good are Sacramento State by the numbers?

In 2026 SP+, Sacramento State rank #133 overall (offense #132, defense #123).

Where can I trade Sacramento State markets?

On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.

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