Scout report
Miami (OH) 2026 outlook
The market gives Miami (OH) a 0.8% chance to win the national title, here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.
Outlook
Natl title
SP+ pctile
Returning
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-3.4#82
FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.-5.7#89
EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1400
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.164.2#83
TalentTalent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.592
Returning prod.Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.8%
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Off PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.1
#114 nationally
Off successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
39%
ExplosivenessExplosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
1.21
Def PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.09
#54 nationally
Def successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
39%
HavocHavoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
18%
Yards/gameTotal yards gained per game.
338.1
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
+5
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Talent. Talent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.
Returning prod.. Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Off success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosiveness. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
W2vsSep 12, 2026Not rated
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Full roster (105)
0WR0DB2WR2DB3LB4WR5DL9RB10WR10DB12DB13QB14DL16LB17DB18WR19DB21DB22DL25DB26LB28DB30DB32DL35LB36PK37LB38PK43LB46LB47DL92DL97DL99DLRBDB1WR3WR5RB6QB9DL11QB12WR14WR15TE15LB16QB18WR18DB19QB20DL21RB23DL24WR27WR27DL29DB31DB33LB34DB38DB39DB44TE44DB48TE48LB49DL50OL51OL52DL53LB54OL55OL56OL57LB58OL59DL61OL63OL64LS66OL67DL70OL71OL72OL73OL74OL76OL77OL78OL80WR81TE82WR83TE84WR86WR87WR88WR89TE90DL93DL96DLDLWROT
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FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What are Miami (OH)'s playoff odds in 2026?
Miami (OH) make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 1.1% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the MAC in 16.3%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.
How many games will Miami (OH) win in 2026?
The simulation projects Miami (OH) at 7 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.
What are Miami (OH)'s national title odds?
Miami (OH) have a 0.8% consensus title probability for 2026, cheapest at 1% on Kalshi.
How good are Miami (OH) by the numbers?
In 2025 SP+, Miami (OH) rank #82 overall (offense #114, defense #54).
Where can I trade Miami (OH) markets?
On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.