Scout report
Boston College 2026 outlook
Boston College are not currently priced in the title market, but here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.
Outlook
SP+ pctile
Returning
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-8.5#97
FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.-5.2#88
EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1359
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.195.1#59
TalentTalent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.650
Returning prod.Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.62%
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Off PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.16
#97 nationally
Off successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
43%
ExplosivenessExplosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
1.21
Def PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.23
#107 nationally
Def successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
43%
HavocHavoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
12%
Yards/gameTotal yards gained per game.
384.2
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
-9
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Talent. Talent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.
Returning prod.. Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Off success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosiveness. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
W3vsSep 19, 2026Not rated
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Full roster (106)
0DB1LB2RB2DB3WR4WR4DE6DL7DB8WR8DL9DL13DE14DB16DB18DB20LB23RB24RB29RB29DB32DB33RB36LB41DL42LB43LB44LB48TE56DL59DL77OL84TE85TE91DL94DL97DL98DL99PKDLOLWRWR5QB7QB10QB11QB13QB15DB16WR17DB19WR20RB21DB23DB25PK26RB27DB30DB32WR33DL34WR35RB35DB37LB38WR38DB39DB45LS46TE46DB47DL49LS50LB51OL51LB52OL52DL53OL54OL55DL56OL63OL69OL70OL71OL73OL74OL75OL76OL78OL79DL81WR82WR86TE87TE88DL88DL89TE90PK93DL95DL96P99DLWRQB
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FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What are Boston College's playoff odds in 2026?
Boston College make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 0.1% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the ACC in 0.1%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.
How many games will Boston College win in 2026?
The simulation projects Boston College at 4 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.
How good are Boston College by the numbers?
In 2025 SP+, Boston College rank #97 overall (offense #97, defense #107).
Where can I trade Boston College markets?
On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.