Redshirt
Scout report

Wyoming 2026 outlook

Wyoming are not currently priced in the title market, but here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.

Outlook
SP+ pctile
Returning
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-11.3#110
FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.-11.5#110
EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1295
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.159.1#89
TalentTalent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.489
Returning prod.Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.75%
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Off PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.05
#129 nationally
Off successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
38%
ExplosivenessExplosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
1.17
Def PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.07
#55 nationally
Def successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
38%
HavocHavoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
13%
Yards/gameTotal yards gained per game.
314.8
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
-3
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Talent. Talent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.
Returning prod.. Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Off success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosiveness. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
W1@Colorado StateSep 5, 202655%Matchup
W2vsNorthern ColoradoSep 12, 2026Not rated
W3@Central MichiganSep 19, 202638%Matchup
W4vsHawai'iSep 26, 202626%Matchup
W5@North Dakota StateOct 3, 2026Not rated
W6@San José StateOct 10, 202651%Matchup
W7vsNorthern IllinoisOct 17, 202668%Matchup
W8vsAir ForceOct 24, 202636%Matchup
W10@UNLVNov 8, 202614%Matchup
W11@UTEPNov 14, 202659%Matchup
W12vsNew MexicoNov 22, 202628%Matchup
W13vsUConnNov 28, 202620%Matchup
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Passing
Mason Drube
187 yds, 0 TD
Rushing
Samuel Harris
552 yds, 1 TD
Receiving
Samuel Harris
16 rec, 184 yds
Tackles
Ethan Stuhlsatz
40 tot, 0 sk
Full roster (104)
0Tyson Shamsid-DeenCB1Samuel HarrisRB1Desman HearnsS2Eric RichardsonWR2Travis Franklin Jr.S3Deion DeBlancWR3Ian BellCB5Brooklyn CheekS7Mason DrubeQB9Jackson HolmanWR11Esaia BogarDE12Bricen BrantleyWR14Landon SimsQB15David LeonardDB19Charlie CoenenWR22Diore HubbardRB22Jaden DaCostaS26Gary RutherfordLB34Steven PerezLB42Ethan StuhlsatzLB46Dash BaumanLB47Erik SandvikPK53Tegen SeedsDL55Kevin SjogrenDE68Cody CrawfordDT70Rex JohnsenOL83Kyle FrendtTE87Isaac SchoenfeldTE90Cade BrookDE99Keelan AndersonPKJett VincentS2Anthony BeaversLB5Justin PopovichWR6Tyler HughesQB6Kaiden Kimble-TurnerS7Junus McGrawCB8Markell HolmanRB8Logan MackeyCB9BJ InmonCB13Pierre JacksonWR13Elvin AmpofoS15Taylor HasselbeckQB16Joaquin SandovalWR16Karson ButtsLB18Da'Marion BrownleeS18Bart EdmistonP19Kendall GriffinCB20Jaden LawrenceRB20Lafai PurcellS21Nico HamiltonRB21Jack DunkleyDE23Tyler NystromWR24Jarell GaryWR24Drew JacksonDB26Dontae BurchRB28Boston GableLB29Ryken BanksRB33Parker MooreLB39Eltoum MurgusDE40Dante BruleyLB43Gavyn HelmP44Tyler HamptonTE44Ja'Quan RedfernDT45Charlie HoustonLS47Jason HandyDE49Nathan CurryLS50Giovanni PanozzoOL50Tanielu Maafala-BarbasaDT51Jason MaciejczakOL51Thaddeus GianarisDE52Chandler DonawayOL54Jonathan PearcyOL54MacGregor ByersDT55Kalvin JanssenOL60Grant LottOL62Spencer RathbunOL63Braylon JenkinsOL64Brandt RiceOL65Nathan GeigerOL66Johnathan BushOL68Jackson GarrettOL71Jake DaviesOT72Pierce DeckerOL73Caleb HallOL74Tariq MillerOL75Cooper LawsonOL76Quinn Grovesteen-MatcheyOT77Josiah PetaiaOL80Tyler SiddonsTE81Jordan StylesWR82Gage BrookTE85Ishmael MuhammadTE86Colin FordTE88Landon PaceTE91Xavier JacksonDT92Dante DrakeDT93Mohanad NahhasDT94Beck HaswellDE95Caleb RobinsonDT96Henry RehbergDT97Alex HaswellDLAnthony Beavers Jr.SJeremiah KattIOLDonnie WingateEDGE
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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are Wyoming's playoff odds in 2026?

Wyoming make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 0.1% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the Mountain West in 2.4%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.

How many games will Wyoming win in 2026?

The simulation projects Wyoming at 5.7 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.

How good are Wyoming by the numbers?

In 2025 SP+, Wyoming rank #110 overall (offense #129, defense #55).

Where can I trade Wyoming markets?

On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.

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