Redshirt
Scout report

Florida International 2026 outlook

Florida International are not currently priced in the title market, but here is the full picture: live price history, championship odds, and how they rate and play, all from real data.

Outlook
SP+ pctile
Returning
Team profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
National ratings
CollegeFootballData · 2025
SP+ overallSP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.-10.5#107
FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.-11.2#106
EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1324
RecruitingRecruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.157.7#90
TalentTalent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.563
Returning prod.Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.42%
Efficiency profile
Per play · 2025
Off PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.16
#74 nationally
Off successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
41%
ExplosivenessExplosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
1.31
Def PPAPPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
0.15
#124 nationally
Def successSuccess rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
42%
HavocHavoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
16%
Yards/gameTotal yards gained per game.
397
Turnover marginTurnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
0
What these metrics mean
SP+ overall. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Recruiting. Recruiting: the national ranking of the team's incoming recruiting class.
Talent. Talent: a composite of the roster's recruiting ratings.
Returning prod.. Returning production: the percent of last season's production (weighted by impact) coming back this year.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Off success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosiveness. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Turnover margin. Turnover margin: takeaways minus giveaways over the season.
2026 schedule
Bars show the model's projected win probability
W1@South FloridaSep 5, 20267%Matchup
W2vsBuffaloSep 12, 202649%Matchup
W3@Florida AtlanticSep 19, 202640%Matchup
W4vsLong Island UniversitySep 26, 2026Not rated
W6vsNew Mexico StateOct 7, 202667%Matchup
W7@Jacksonville StateOct 14, 202635%Matchup
W8vsMiddle TennesseeOct 20, 202668%Matchup
W9@LibertyOct 31, 202641%Matchup
W10vsMissouri StateNov 7, 202656%Matchup
W11@DelawareNov 14, 202645%Matchup
W12@Kennesaw StateNov 21, 202632%Matchup
W13vsSam HoustonNov 28, 202688%Matchup
Roster & leaders
2026 roster · 2025 stat leaders
Rushing
Anthony Carrie
469 yds, 5 TD
Receiving
Kyle McNeal
31 rec, 310 yds
Tackles
Josiah Taylor
71 tot, 1 sk
Full roster (102)
0Jojo StoneWR1Anthony CarrieRB1Shamir SterlinDB2Maguire AndersonWR3Devonte LyonsRB3Demetrius HillDB5Kenton SimmonsDE6Eric Nelson Jr.WR6Lawrence JohnsonDB7Kyle McNealWR7Jai-Ayviauynn CelestineDB9Jackson VerdugoTE9Josiah TaylorLB10Ormond WallaceDB11Percy Courtney Jr.LB13Tyson CarterWR13Dante AndersonDL14Kenny WilliamsWR14Robert WilliamsDL16Nick WatsonDL17Kani SmithLB18Andre BrownWR22Sterling JosephRB24King MasseyDL34Cam DavisLB45Lamont Green Jr.DL48Robert CzeremchaPK54Zaire FlournoyOL55Jamorie FlaggDL91Kyrie SamuelDL95Anthony SmithDL99Germaine CarterDT0Da'Vontae FloydDB2DeAndre BoykinsDB4James ResarTE4Wesley MillerDB5DJ AlexanderQB8Greg Gaines IIIWR8Ryan GadsonDB10Jayden FordRB11Zach MarkerQB12Amari IsaacWR12RJ Moss Jr.DL15Donovan GilesWR15Nathan JenningsDL16Zachary WatersQB17JJ KohlQB18Pickle StewartLB19Davis BrownTE19Myles CunninghamDB20Matt IvaldiQB20Kiyante IngramDB21Nate HenryRB21Karaijus HayesDB22Brayshawn LittlejohnLB23Trey WhirleyQB23Tyderick BrownDB25Jakari JohnsonDB26Zay WestDB27Eric JohnsonDB28Orlando Syph-TimmonsLB30Noah SidanPK31Demitris MinceyLB33DeeJay Holmes Jr.DL35Jahmani Chin-SuerDB36Justin CompereRB37Deandre ArnoldLB41Stone SpringmanP44Michael SmartsDE46Holden HarkinsLS48Richard NwaukoniDL49Conrad TolericoP50Jeremy SmithOL51Manasseh RipertOL52Akeem NealOL53Nathan TveitOL55Daveion HarleyOL56Marc Michel Jr.OL58Oscar ColonOL60Noah FernandezOL66Takaylen MuexOL67Jon RodriguezOL71Antonio Tripp Jr.OL73Spencer WebbOL74Matias GarciaOL75Miguel CedenoOL76Samson ChazulleOL78Nickolas MolinaOL80Dylan HermanWR81Ayden PassleyTE83Malik PensonWR84Barrett SchulzWR86Rodrigo MarronLS87Remy GoinsTE88Kevin SchaefferTE88Elijah SimmonsDL89Sean BurkeTE90Anthony CunninghamDL92Lukenson MorancyDL97Elisha BaldridgeDLJaCorey StewartLBVontae FloydCB
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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are Florida International's playoff odds in 2026?

Florida International make the 2026 College Football Playoff in 0.2% of our 10,000 season simulations, win the C-USA in 6.9%, and win the national title in 0%. The simulation re-runs daily.

How many games will Florida International win in 2026?

The simulation projects Florida International at 6.1 wins on average across 10,000 runs of the real 2026 schedule.

How good are Florida International by the numbers?

In 2025 SP+, Florida International rank #107 overall (offense #74, defense #124).

Where can I trade Florida International markets?

On Polymarket (TGSWC), Kalshi (FADE) and ProphetX (VAULT). Prices differ by venue, so compare for the best price.

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