Texas A&M vs South Carolina
Texas A&M visit South Carolina in Week 10. The model favors South Carolina by 3.7. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ gives South Carolina a modest edge, rating the Gamecocks 11 (rank 28) against Texas A&M at 9.7 (rank 34), a projected 3.7-point home margin and a 59% win probability. The market is considerably more committed: the consensus line sits at South Carolina -7 with a 51.3 total and a 66% implied probability, and the ProphetX exchange pushes further to -245, or 71%. That gap between a 59% model number and a 66-to-71% market read leaves the value on the Texas A&M contract at +235 (30%).
The unit splits favor the host where it matters: South Carolina's offense ranks 23rd against a Texas A&M defense at 33rd, while the Aggie offense (44th) meets a softer South Carolina defense (47th). History cuts the other way, as Texas A&M holds the series 10-2 and took last year's meeting 31-30.
Form muddies the model's lean. Texas A&M is uneven at 4-4 in these results, blanking The Citadel 41-0 and Missouri State 50-0 but losing 6-35 at LSU, 6-27 at Missouri and 20-31 at Alabama. South Carolina has the better recent profile, with wins at Florida 38-19, over Tennessee 27-24 and at Oklahoma 42-25 offsetting a 18-49 loss at Alabama.
The model likes South Carolina by 3.7, but the market prices the Gamecocks well past that line, leaving the edge on Texas A&M.
Real consensus line across 2 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
Real daily prices from the market to win this game, shown as Texas A&M's win price; South Carolina's is 100 minus it (the same market's other side). Above the 50% line Texas A&M is favored, below it South Carolina is, and each candle takes the favored team's color. Kalshi shows open-high-low-close candles (filled body closed up, hollow closed down). As of Nov 7.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Texas A&M vs South Carolina game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Texas A&M vs South Carolina market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Texas A&M and South Carolina play?
Week 10 of 2026, on Nov 7, 2026 at South Carolina.
Who is favored?
The model projects South Carolina by 3.7 (59% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
What is the all-time series?
Texas A&M lead 10-2 over the meetings in our records.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →