Redshirt
Analysis

Kalshi vs Polymarket CFB: Which Has Better Prices

Kalshi vs Polymarket for college football: on the current title board, Kalshi prints the best available price on all 12 listed contracts. Here is the read.

By The Model Desk · 2026-07-01
Analysis
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Key takeaways
  • On the current national title board, Kalshi holds the best available price on all 12 listed CFB contracts.
  • Miami leads the board at 12c on Kalshi against a 9.1% model fair value.
  • Oregon, Texas and Notre Dame each price 11c on Kalshi, just behind Miami at the front of the market.
  • The best-price column, not the headline number, decides which venue offers the better entry on a given contract.
  • No live Polymarket CFB title price appears in this snapshot, so the venue comparison rests on execution mechanics, not a head-to-head figure.

On the current college football national title board, Kalshi holds the better prices: it prints the best available price on all 12 listed contracts, from Miami at 12c down to Texas Tech, Oklahoma and Ole Miss at 3c. No live Polymarket CFB title price surfaces in this snapshot, so the head-to-head reduces to one venue setting the market and the mechanics that decide value beyond the sticker number.

Which venue has the better CFB title prices right now?

The consensus board is sourced from Kalshi across every listed team, and every best-price flag points to the same venue. That makes the answer for this snapshot narrow but clear: Kalshi is where the tightest CFB title prices are printing.

Miami tops the board at 12c against a 9.1% model fair value. Oregon, Texas and Notre Dame follow at 11c, with model fair values of 8.7%, 8.3% and 8.3% respectively. Ohio State and Indiana share 9c, each carrying a 6.7% fair value. The pattern holds all the way down: the best-price column and the venue column do not diverge here.

Best CFB title price by team

The board is compact at the top. Miami's 12c is the only double-digit outlier before a cluster of contenders at 11c, then a step down to the 9c tier.

Reading the price ladder matters more than the label on the venue. The difference between 12c and 11c is the difference between a roughly 9.1% and 8.7% implied line before de-vigging, and that is the granularity a price comparison lives or dies on.

Best CFB title price by team (Kalshi)
Miami12c
Oregon11c
Texas11c
Notre Dame11c
Ohio State9c
Indiana9c
Georgia7c

Why the best-price column beats the headline number

A venue does not have better prices because it lists a team; it has better prices when the best available contract on the exact same market clears cheaper, all-in. That means netting out fees and factoring resolution terms and liquidity, not just eyeballing a quote.

On a two-venue exchange like Kalshi versus Polymarket, the comparison only becomes live when both surface the same contract at the same time. In this snapshot they do not, so the disciplined read is that Kalshi owns the CFB title price today by default, and any Polymarket edge would have to show up as a lower matching price before it counts.

Kalshi's promo code is FADE and Polymarket's is TGSWC for those setting up on either venue, but codes do not change which contract clears cheaper. The best-price column does.

Where the model sees the tightest reads

Fair value and price track closely at the top of this board, which is what a liquid, single-source market tends to produce. Miami's 9.1% fair value sits under its 12c price, and the same small gap repeats across Oregon, Texas and Notre Dame.

That compression is the point of a venue comparison: when one exchange is doing the price discovery, the model's fair value is the check on whether the printed price is rich or cheap, not a second venue. Georgia at 7c on a 5.1% fair value and LSU at 6c on a 4.3% fair value show the same modest premium of price over model across the middle of the board.

Prices and the model can both be wrong, and a single-source snapshot is thinner than a true multi-venue read. The takeaway is scoped to what the data shows: for this college football title board, Kalshi has the better prices because it has the only live prices, and the fair-value column is how each one gets judged.

Model fair value vs Kalshi price, top contenders
Miami FV9.1%
Oregon FV8.7%
Texas FV8.3%
Notre Dame FV8.3%
Ohio State FV6.7%
Georgia FV5.1%
TeamsMiamiOregonTexasNotre DameOhio StIndiana
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Frequently asked questions

Which has better prices for college football, Kalshi or Polymarket?

In the current title snapshot, Kalshi holds the best available price on every one of the 12 listed contracts. No live Polymarket CFB title price is present in this data, so the comparison rests on Kalshi's surfaced best prices plus structural factors like fees, liquidity and resolution.

What is the cheapest CFB national title contract right now?

Georgia is among the cheapest live title contracts at 7c on Kalshi, with Ohio State and Indiana at 9c each. Cheaper does not mean better value; each price should be weighed against the model's fair value.

What is Miami's national title price?

Miami's best price is 12c on Kalshi, the highest-priced contract on the board, against a model fair value of 9.1%.

How do you decide which venue has the better price?

Compare the best available price for the exact same contract across venues, then weigh fees, liquidity and resolution terms. The lowest all-in entry cost on a matching contract wins.

About the author
The Model Desk

The Redshirt Analytics modeling team prices every college football futures contract and tracks the gaps between fair value and live market prices on Kalshi, Polymarket and ProphetX.