Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion
Georgia Southern visit Old Dominion in Week 7. The model favors Georgia Southern by 2.9. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ separates these Sun Belt teams by 5.3 points of rating, slotting Georgia Southern at -4.6 (rank 90) over Old Dominion at -9.9 (rank 108). The model projects Georgia Southern by 2.9 and gives the Eagles a 57 percent win probability against Old Dominion's 43 percent. The consensus line across two books lands close, Old Dominion +3.5 with a 47.5 total and an implied 58-42 split. The ProphetX exchange leans further toward the favorite: Georgia Southern -160 implies 62 percent, Old Dominion +158 implies 39 percent, a notable gap from both the model and the books.
Unit ranks frame the contrast. Georgia Southern pairs the #82 offense with a #102 defense, while Old Dominion offsets a #122 offense with a sturdier #72 defense, its best case against a GS attack that has reached 31 points three times. Series history favors Old Dominion 3-1, including a 45-10 rout in the 2025 meeting, though the current ratings no longer reflect that margin.
Results read similarly: Georgia Southern holds wins over Charleston Southern (31-0) and at Coastal Carolina (31-24) against four losses, several close, including 24-27 to James Madison. Old Dominion owns a 10-3 win at App State but lost 20-46 to James Madison and 10-42 at Georgia State. Simulations project 5.6 wins for Georgia Southern and 4.9 for Old Dominion, with neither carrying Playoff or title odds.
Model, consensus books and the exchange all favor Georgia Southern, with ProphetX pricing the Eagles hardest at 62 percent.
Real consensus line across 2 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
Real daily prices from the market to win this game, shown as Georgia Southern's win price; Old Dominion's is 100 minus it (the same market's other side). Above the 50% line Georgia Southern is favored, below it Old Dominion is, and each candle takes the favored team's color. Kalshi shows open-high-low-close candles (filled body closed up, hollow closed down). As of Oct 16.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Georgia Southern and Old Dominion play?
Week 7 of 2026, on Oct 15, 2026 at Old Dominion.
Who is favored?
The model projects Georgia Southern by 2.9 (57% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
What is the all-time series?
Old Dominion lead 3-1 over the meetings in our records.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →