Colorado vs Georgia Tech
Colorado visit Georgia Tech in Week 1. The model favors Georgia Tech by 8. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ installs Georgia Tech at 5.9 (rank 42) against Colorado at 0.7 (rank 66), a rating gap that translates to a projected 7.6-point margin and a 68% model win probability. The market sits a shade softer: Georgia Tech -6.5, total 51.3, with an implied 65%. The ProphetX exchange leans the other way, pricing Georgia Tech at -230 (70%) and Colorado at +215 (32%). So the model, the consensus line and the exchange all land Georgia Tech between 65% and 70%, a tight agreement that leaves little edge on the favorite.
The unit ranks tell a consistent story. Georgia Tech grades ahead on both sides, offense #54 to Colorado's #66 and defense #48 to #60. No matchup line reverses the overall tilt, which is why the projected margin (7.6) hugs the market number (6.5) rather than diverging from it. The one-point gap between model margin and spread is the only real disagreement on the board.
Series history is thin but pointed: Georgia Tech leads 1-0, having taken the 2025 meeting 27-20, a seven-point result that mirrors the current projection. Season simulations frame the tiers, Georgia Tech at 6.2 projected wins and 4.4% Playoff odds versus Colorado's 5.2 wins and 1.3%, with neither team a title factor (0.1% and 0%).
Model, consensus line and exchange all cluster Georgia Tech at 65-70%, and a projected 7.6 barely clears the -6.5.
Real consensus line across 3 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
Real daily prices from the market to win this game, shown as Colorado's win price; Georgia Tech's is 100 minus it (the same market's other side). Above the 50% line Colorado is favored, below it Georgia Tech is, and each candle takes the favored team's color. Kalshi shows open-high-low-close candles (filled body closed up, hollow closed down). As of Sep 23.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Colorado vs Georgia Tech game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Colorado vs Georgia Tech market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Colorado and Georgia Tech play?
Week 1 of 2026, on Sep 4, 2026 at Georgia Tech.
Who is favored?
The model projects Georgia Tech by 8 (69% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
What is the all-time series?
Georgia Tech lead 1-0 over the meetings in our records.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →