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Matchup preview

Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech

Georgia Tech visit Virginia Tech in Week 7. The model favors Georgia Tech by 17. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.

Win probability
85%
15%

Model win probability from SP+ ratings + home-field edge.

Tale of the tape
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
#35SP+SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.#106
#40FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.#71
1595EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1382
0.8%Title oddsDe-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.0.8%
Georgia TechVirginia Techsolid = better, faded = trailing
What these metrics mean
SP+. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Title odds. De-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosive. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Success allowed. How often the defense allows an on-schedule play (enough yards for the down). Lower is better.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards allowed. Total yards allowed per game. Lower is better.
Efficiency profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
Recent series
Georgia Tech lead 6-4
20142025
Head to head
Every meeting in our records
2025
35-20
Georgia Tech
at Georgia Tech
2024
21-6
Virginia Tech
at Virginia Tech
2022
28-27
Georgia Tech
at Virginia Tech
2021
26-17
Virginia Tech
at Georgia Tech
2019
45-0
Virginia Tech
at Georgia Tech
2018
49-28
Georgia Tech
at Virginia Tech
2017
28-22
Georgia Tech
at Georgia Tech
2016
30-20
Georgia Tech
at Virginia Tech
2015
23-21
Virginia Tech
at Georgia Tech
2014
27-24
Georgia Tech
at Virginia Tech
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

When do Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech play?

Week 7 of 2026, on Oct 17, 2026 at Virginia Tech.

Who is favored?

The model projects Georgia Tech by 17 (85% win probability), from SP+ ratings.

What is the all-time series?

Georgia Tech lead 6-4 over the meetings in our records.

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