Delaware vs Kennesaw State
Delaware visit Kennesaw State in Week 10. The model favors Kennesaw State by 0.3. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ frames this as a coin flip: Delaware rates -11.7 (117th) against Kennesaw State's -13.8 (120th), a 2.1-point edge the model converts into a 51% win probability for the home side and a projected Kennesaw State margin of just 0.3 points. The market leans the other way, pricing Delaware as the favorite with the consensus line at Kennesaw State +1.8 and a 54% implied probability for the visitor. The ProphetX exchange agrees, offering Delaware at -116 (54%) and Kennesaw State at +112 (47%). So the model and the market split on who is favored while sitting within a few points of a pick.
The unit ranks explain the tension. Delaware's offense (98th) clears Kennesaw State's (121st), but the Delaware defense (125th) lags behind the Kennesaw State defense (105th), and a total of 56.8 reflects two shaky stop units. Season form favors Delaware: four wins through eight games against a Kennesaw State side that is 2-6, and the projections back that, with Delaware at 5.8 wins versus 3.9 for the Owls. Neither team carries Playoff or title equity.
A shared data point adds context: both teams played at Middle Tennessee, where Delaware fell 30-33 and Kennesaw State won 44-28. Delaware's 61-38 and 35-21 wins show scoring upside, while Kennesaw State's results outside its two blowout wins skew close and low.
Model calls it a toss-up leaning Kennesaw State by 0.3, but market and exchange both price Delaware at 54%, backed by stronger form.
Real consensus line across 2 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
Real daily prices from the market to win this game, shown as Delaware's win price; Kennesaw State's is 100 minus it (the same market's other side). Above the 50% line Delaware is favored, below it Kennesaw State is, and each candle takes the favored team's color. Kalshi shows open-high-low-close candles (filled body closed up, hollow closed down). As of Nov 7.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Delaware vs Kennesaw State game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Delaware vs Kennesaw State market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Delaware and Kennesaw State play?
Week 10 of 2026, on Nov 7, 2026 at Kennesaw State.
Who is favored?
The model projects Kennesaw State by 0.3 (51% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →