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Matchup preview

Clemson vs Syracuse

Clemson visit Syracuse in Week 10. The model favors Clemson by 20.2. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.

Win probability
89%
11%

Model win probability from SP+ ratings + home-field edge.

Tale of the tape
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
#34SP+SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.#115
#31FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.#99
1755EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1182
0.8%Title oddsDe-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.-
ClemsonSyracusesolid = better, faded = trailing
What these metrics mean
SP+. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Title odds. De-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosive. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Success allowed. How often the defense allows an on-schedule play (enough yards for the down). Lower is better.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards allowed. Total yards allowed per game. Lower is better.
Efficiency profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
Recent series
Clemson lead 9-2
20152025
Head to head
Every meeting in our records
2025
34-21
Syracuse
at Clemson
2023
31-14
Clemson
at Syracuse
2022
27-21
Clemson
at Clemson
2021
17-14
Clemson
at Syracuse
2020
47-21
Clemson
at Clemson
2019
41-6
Clemson
at Syracuse
2018
27-23
Clemson
at Clemson
2017
27-24
Syracuse
at Syracuse
2016
54-0
Clemson
at Clemson
2015
37-27
Clemson
at Syracuse
2014
16-6
Clemson
at Clemson
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

When do Clemson and Syracuse play?

Week 10 of 2026, on Nov 7, 2026 at Syracuse.

Who is favored?

The model projects Clemson by 20.2 (89% win probability), from SP+ ratings.

What is the all-time series?

Clemson lead 9-2 over the meetings in our records.

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