Clemson vs Syracuse
Clemson visit Syracuse in Week 10. The model favors Clemson by 5.1. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ separates these ACC teams by 7.5 rating points, Clemson at 4.7 (rank 55) against Syracuse at -2.8 (rank 87), and projects Clemson by 5.1 on the road. That translates to a 62% model win probability for Clemson, firmer than the market's 56% from the consensus +2.5 line and the ProphetX price of -130 (57%). The gap, roughly six points of win probability, is where the model reads more Clemson value than the contract currently charges.
The unit ranks frame it as a defense-against-offense problem on both sides. Clemson's defense ranks 24th against a Syracuse offense at 77th, while Syracuse's 85th-ranked defense faces a Clemson offense down at 96th. The total sits at 50.3, implying neither side is trusted to move the ball efficiently against the other.
Series history cuts against the favorite: Clemson leads 9-2 all time but lost the last meeting in 2025, 34-21 in Syracuse. Results are mixed on both ends. Clemson is 5-3 with a 36-24 win at Florida State but blowout losses to LSU (10-51) and Miami (13-41); Syracuse is 4-4 with road wins at North Carolina (31-30) and over SMU (30-27) inside a string of one-score games.
The model's 62% leans harder on Clemson than the market's 56%, but mirrored unit weaknesses and a 2025 Syracuse upset keep this live.
Real consensus line across 2 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
Real daily prices from the market to win this game, shown as Clemson's win price; Syracuse's is 100 minus it (the same market's other side). Above the 50% line Clemson is favored, below it Syracuse is, and each candle takes the favored team's color. Kalshi shows open-high-low-close candles (filled body closed up, hollow closed down). As of Nov 7.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Clemson vs Syracuse game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Clemson vs Syracuse market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Clemson and Syracuse play?
Week 10 of 2026, on Nov 7, 2026 at Syracuse.
Who is favored?
The model projects Clemson by 5.1 (62% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
What is the all-time series?
Clemson lead 9-2 over the meetings in our records.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →