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Matchup preview

Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan

Central Michigan meet Eastern Michigan in Week 10. The model favors Central Michigan by 4. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.

Win probability
60%
40%

Model win probability from SP+ ratings + home-field edge.

Tale of the tape
Percentile vs FBS · 2025 stats, 2026 SP+
#116SP+SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.#125
#107FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.#118
1232EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1239
-Title oddsDe-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.-
Central MichiganEastern Michigansolid = better, faded = trailing
What these metrics mean
SP+. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Title odds. De-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosive. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Success allowed. How often the defense allows an on-schedule play (enough yards for the down). Lower is better.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards allowed. Total yards allowed per game. Lower is better.
Efficiency profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
Recent series
Central Michigan lead 8-4
20162025
Head to head
Every meeting in our records
2025
24-13
Central Michigan
at Central Michigan
2024
38-34
Eastern Michigan
at Eastern Michigan
2023
26-23
Central Michigan
at Central Michigan
2022
38-19
Eastern Michigan
at Eastern Michigan
2021
31-10
Central Michigan
at Central Michigan
2020
31-23
Central Michigan
at Eastern Michigan
2019
42-16
Central Michigan
at Central Michigan
2018
17-7
Eastern Michigan
at Eastern Michigan
2017
42-30
Central Michigan
at Central Michigan
2016
26-21
Eastern Michigan
at Eastern Michigan
2015
35-28
Central Michigan
at Central Michigan
2014
38-7
Central Michigan
at Eastern Michigan
More Week 10 matchups
Model previews for the rest of the slate
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How do I trade the Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan game?

Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.

When do Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan play?

Week 10 of 2026, on Nov 4, 2026 at a neutral site.

Who is favored?

The model projects Central Michigan by 4 (60% win probability), from SP+ ratings.

What is the all-time series?

Central Michigan lead 8-4 over the meetings in our records.

Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →

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