Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan meet Eastern Michigan in Week 10. The model favors Eastern Michigan by 2.1. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ gives Eastern Michigan the edge, rating it -14.6 (rank 123) against Central Michigan at -16.7 (rank 127). That 2.1-point gap becomes a projected Eastern Michigan win by 2.1 and a 55% model win probability. The consensus market agrees on direction but prices it tighter at Eastern Michigan -1.2, implying 53%, and the ProphetX exchange tightens it further, listing Eastern Michigan -104 (51%) against Central Michigan +103 (49%). The disagreement is one of size, not side.
The unit ranks frame a matchup of two bottom-tier profiles: Central Michigan offense #130 and defense #108, Eastern Michigan offense #122 and defense #112, with the total set at 44.5. Series history leans the other way, as Central Michigan holds an 8-4 edge and took the 2025 meeting 24-13. Season simulations split the projections narrowly, 5.4 wins for Eastern Michigan against 5.1 for Central Michigan, and neither carries Playoff or title equity.
Results this year read evenly: Central Michigan sits 3-5 with wins over Colgate, Wyoming and Akron against losses to New Mexico, Miami, Ohio, Western Michigan and Miami (OH). Eastern Michigan is 4-5, its wins over Sacramento State, Lindenwood, Massachusetts and Akron offset by losses including Toledo and Ohio. The model, market and exchange all cluster near a coin flip tilted slightly to Eastern Michigan.
Model, market and exchange all land near a coin flip leaning slightly to Eastern Michigan, with only the margin in dispute.
Real consensus line across 2 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
Real daily prices from the market to win this game, shown as Central Michigan's win price; Eastern Michigan's is 100 minus it (the same market's other side). Above the 50% line Central Michigan is favored, below it Eastern Michigan is, and each candle takes the favored team's color. Kalshi shows open-high-low-close candles (filled body closed up, hollow closed down). As of Nov 7.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan play?
Week 10 of 2026, on Nov 5, 2026 at a neutral site.
Who is favored?
The model projects Eastern Michigan by 2.1 (55% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
What is the all-time series?
Central Michigan lead 8-4 over the meetings in our records.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →