Redshirt
Matchup preview

Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State

Texas Tech visit Oklahoma State in Week 11. The model favors Texas Tech by 7.4. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.

Win probability
67%
33%

Model win probability from SP+ ratings + home-field edge.

Matchup odds
Consensus line · 1 book
Spread
TTU -15.5
Total (O/U)
61.5
Favorite
TTU
Moneyline win probability (implied from the spread)

Real consensus line across 1 sportsbook. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.

Tale of the tape
Percentile vs FBS · 2025 stats, 2026 SP+
#13SP+SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.#41
#6FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.#113
2056EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1110
1%Title oddsDe-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.0.8%
Texas TechOklahoma Statesolid = better, faded = trailing
What these metrics mean
SP+. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Title odds. De-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosive. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Success allowed. How often the defense allows an on-schedule play (enough yards for the down). Lower is better.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards allowed. Total yards allowed per game. Lower is better.
Efficiency profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
Recent series
Oklahoma State lead 7-4
Texas Tech have won the last 2
20152025
Head to head
Every meeting in our records
2025
42-0
Texas Tech
at Texas Tech
2024
56-48
Texas Tech
at Oklahoma State
2022
41-31
Oklahoma State
at Oklahoma State
2021
23-0
Oklahoma State
at Texas Tech
2020
50-44
Oklahoma State
at Oklahoma State
2019
45-35
Texas Tech
at Texas Tech
2018
41-17
Texas Tech
at Oklahoma State
2017
41-34
Oklahoma State
at Texas Tech
2016
45-44
Oklahoma State
at Oklahoma State
2015
70-53
Oklahoma State
at Texas Tech
2014
45-35
Oklahoma State
at Oklahoma State
More Week 11 matchups
Model previews for the rest of the slate
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How do I trade the Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State game?

Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.

When do Texas Tech and Oklahoma State play?

Week 11 of 2026, on Nov 14, 2026 at Oklahoma State.

Who is favored?

The model projects Texas Tech by 7.4 (67% win probability), from SP+ ratings.

What is the all-time series?

Oklahoma State lead 7-4 over the meetings in our records.

Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →

Trade this game
Code VAULT: trade $10, get $20
ProphetX →