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Matchup preview

South Carolina vs Clemson

South Carolina visit Clemson in Week 13. The model favors South Carolina by 3.5. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.

Win probability
58%
42%

Model win probability from SP+ ratings + home-field edge.

Matchup odds
Consensus line · 1 book
Spread
CLEM -3
Total (O/U)
53.5
Favorite
CLEM
Moneyline win probability (implied from the spread)

Real consensus line across 1 sportsbook. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.

Tale of the tape
Percentile vs FBS · 2025 stats, 2026 SP+
#26SP+SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.#45
#34FPIFPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.#31
1697EloElo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.1755
0.8%Title oddsDe-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.0.8%
South CarolinaClemsonsolid = better, faded = trailing
What these metrics mean
SP+. SP+: Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, expressed in points above average.
FPI. FPI: ESPN's Football Power Index, an overall measure of team strength.
Elo. Elo: a rating that rises or falls after each game based on the result and the quality of the opponent.
Title odds. De-vigged consensus probability to win the national title, averaged across the prediction markets we track.
Off PPA. PPA (Predicted Points Added): the average point value each play adds. Higher is better for offense, lower for defense.
Success. Success rate: the share of plays that stay on schedule (roughly 50% of needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th). Higher is better.
Explosive. Explosiveness: the average value of a team's successful plays, i.e. how big its good plays are when they hit.
Yards/game. Total yards gained per game.
Success allowed. How often the defense allows an on-schedule play (enough yards for the down). Lower is better.
Havoc. Havoc rate: the share of plays where the defense makes a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception, or pass breakup.
Yards allowed. Total yards allowed per game. Lower is better.
Efficiency profile
Percentile vs FBS · 2025
Recent series
Clemson lead 9-2
20152025
Head to head
Every meeting in our records
2025
28-14
Clemson
at South Carolina
2024
17-14
South Carolina
at Clemson
2023
16-7
Clemson
at South Carolina
2022
31-30
South Carolina
at Clemson
2021
30-0
Clemson
at South Carolina
2019
38-3
Clemson
at South Carolina
2018
56-35
Clemson
at Clemson
2017
34-10
Clemson
at South Carolina
2016
56-7
Clemson
at Clemson
2015
37-32
Clemson
at South Carolina
2014
35-17
Clemson
at Clemson
More Week 13 matchups
Model previews for the rest of the slate
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How do I trade the South Carolina vs Clemson game?

Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the South Carolina vs Clemson market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.

When do South Carolina and Clemson play?

Week 13 of 2026, on Nov 28, 2026 at Clemson.

Who is favored?

The model projects South Carolina by 3.5 (58% win probability), from SP+ ratings.

What is the all-time series?

Clemson lead 9-2 over the meetings in our records.

Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →

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