Duke vs Georgia Tech
Duke visit Georgia Tech in Week 6. The model favors Duke by 5.5. Win probability, the tale of the tape, and the all-time series, all from real data.
SP+ rates Duke at 10.2 (35th) against Georgia Tech at minus 0.1 (69th), a gap that drives a projected Duke margin of 7.9 and a 68% model win probability. The consensus line sits at Georgia Tech plus 6.5 with a 45.3 total, pricing Duke at 65%, so the market lands just three points shy of the model read. ProphetX stretches it further: Duke at minus 245 implies 71%, Georgia Tech at plus 230 implies 30%. Direction is unanimous; only the degree of Duke's edge is contested.
Every unit rank favors Duke: offense 29th to 66th, defense 42nd to 76th. The season projections widen the divide, with Duke modeled for 8.4 wins and 11.3% Playoff odds versus Georgia Tech at 3.8 wins and 0.1%. The series tempers that, tied historically at 5-6, and Georgia Tech took the last meeting 27-18 in 2025.
Results reinforce the ratings. Duke is 4-0, including 31-27 at Illinois and 35-7 over Stanford. Georgia Tech is 1-3, with a 13-14 loss to Colorado, a 24-45 loss to Tennessee, and a 27-34 defeat at Stanford, the lone win 44-11 over Mercer.
Model and market agree Duke is the clear side; the only open question is whether 6.5 points fully captures a double-digit ratings edge.
Real consensus line across 2 sportsbooks. Spread and total are the current market number; the win probabilities are implied from the spread.
What these metrics mean
Frequently asked questions
How do I trade the Duke vs Georgia Tech game?
Kalshi lists winner markets for college football games. Sign up with code FADE (trade $25, get up to $500), open the Duke vs Georgia Tech market when it posts, and buy YES on your side; the price in cents equals the market's implied win probability. You can sell before kickoff or settlement at the current price.
When do Duke and Georgia Tech play?
Week 6 of 2026, on Oct 10, 2026 at Georgia Tech.
Who is favored?
The model projects Duke by 5.5 (63% win probability), from SP+ ratings.
What is the all-time series?
Georgia Tech lead 6-5 over the meetings in our records.
Full schedule → · Both teams' playoff odds, from 10,000 simulations →